Tuesday, February 1, 2011

Amazon vs. Netflix

Well, it seems that Amazon (AMZN) is ready to enter into battle with Netflix (NFLX) in the streaming video arena. You can try to pick a winner, but in this book, they both seem expensive based on their fundamentals. I just wrote a post yesterday regarding the items to screen for when looking for stocks so let's put the research to work. Let's look at the numbers first:



NFLX is seen as having a bit more growth potential with a PEG of 1.69, but neither of them would show up in my screen as they are both over 1.5. Price/Sales and Price/Book are decidedly on AMZN side, but neither number would qualify them for my screen either! Price momentum on the other side would qualify only NFLX since I screen for 95% or over. 


Looking at other 2 ratios not used in my screen, but still useful, you can see that both have P/E that will be hard to justify in the coming years. Price to Cash Flow is way out of whack for Amazon (?) and a tad expensive for Netflix but not overly for a growth stock.


Overall, not a great picture! Both are definitely overpriced. But don't go shorting either one of them. AMZN has killed many shorts and NFLX is not a fun one to short either...


Keep in mind that NFLX uses AMZN infrastructure for streaming its video so in a sense, Amazon is already collecting a dime from Netflix every time you watch a rerun of Lost trying to figure out what you have missed!

1 comment:

  1. ... or trying to figure out what's happening to begin with.

    ReplyDelete